Publication results
Over the next decades, Europe’s age structure will change immensely – in particular, the number of older people will grow. This will be felt first on the local level: in Europe’s regions and communities. How can they respond, quickly and effectively? This Briefing presents recommendations from high-level European policy experts who have taken part in the FutuRes Policy Lab.
See the list of all FutuRes Myth Busts | Interested in our Citizen Workshop on policy and ageism?
When economists construct their macro- and micro-economic models, they usually assume that productivity is something which decreases as we age. This is based on prejudices about age and productivity which are deeply engrained in our understanding of the economy. Time to challenge this stereotype, using scientific evidence.
There is a common belief that older people are more cautious about new technologies and are therefore less likely to use them. According to statistical studies, it is true that on average people over 60 use technology less frequently - but to assume that this is because they are less open to change is a prejudice.
See the list of all FutuRes Myth Busts | Interested in our Citizen Workshop on policy and ageism?
A common perception is that “robots will take our jobs”. While for many this is a very unsettling idea, others predict that the automation of work will solve one of our biggest challenges: the declining workforce in our ageing societies. The reality is, however, that both the worries and the hopes are mostly unfounded.
This report establishes a conceptual framework for resilience at individual and institutional levels. The framework is tailored for effective policy-making and tested in a case study on the COVID-19 pandemic.
This working paper identifies patterns in which fertility dynamics reacted to two major crises: the Great Recession in the late 2000s and the Covid pandemic. While in some countries, fertility trends changed considerable, in others they quickly recovered to the pre-crises level. On the basis of these findings an analytical framework is presented to investigate resilience in fertility dynamics in Europe, including micro, meso and macro factors that can influence fertility. This framework forms the basis for future analyses in the FutuRes project.
Can migration and job automation help address some of the challenges which population ageing poses to the labour markets in Europe? This technical report presents the design and initial analysis of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model, which will ultimately serve as a tool to examine the vulnerability of European socio-economic systems to external shocks. As an illustration, we use a case study of the German and Polish economies.
The model will quantify resilience of various pension reforms. This technical note explains how individual behavior interacts with macroeconomic and institutional constraints, considering idiosyncratic risks.
This publication provides an orientation for policymakers who consider using anticipatory methods. The Policy Brief is structured into four “Building Blocks” highlighting different methodological approaches. It briefs policymakers on the benefits and limits of these approaches and provides examples of how they can be used to answer different policy challenges.
See the list of all FutuRes Myth Busts | Interested in our Citizen Workshop on policy and ageism?
While migration can relieve short-term labour market pressures and keep population from declining, it can never be a sustainable long-term approach to managing population ageing. It is true that migrants who move for work are typically young and economically active, so they are indeed able to fill labour market gaps. It is therefore tempting to think that migration can solve many challenges of tomorrow’s societies: that it will counter population ageing, reverse labour force decline, and make social security systems more resilient.